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The future is bright Mar 30, 2025 Software Engineering is here to stay Mar 3, 2024 On luck and gumption Oct 8, 2023 Book review: Clojure for the Brave and True Oct 2, 2022 Why don’t they tell you that in the instructions? Aug 31, 2022 Monolithic repository vs a monolith Aug 23, 2022 Scripting languages are tools for tying APIs together, not building complex systems Jun 8, 2022 Good developers can pick up new programming languages Jun 3, 2022 Java is no longer relevant May 29, 2022 Automation and coding tools for pet projects on the Apple hardware May 28, 2022 There is no such thing as one grand unified full-stack programming language May 27, 2022 Best practices for building a microservice architecture Apr 25, 2022 Tools of the craft Dec 18, 2021 What programming language to use for a brand new project? Feb 18, 2020 Which AWS messaging and queuing service to use? Jan 25, 2019 The religion of JavaScript Nov 26, 2018 Let’s talk cloud neutrality Sep 17, 2018 TypeScript starts where JavaScript leaves off Aug 2, 2017 Design patterns in TypeScript: Chain of Responsibility Jul 22, 2017 Amazon Alexa is eating the retailers alive Jun 22, 2016 What can we learn from the last week's salesforce.com outage ? May 15, 2016 Why it makes perfect sense for Dropbox to leave AWS May 7, 2016 OAuth 2.0: the protocol at the center of the universe Jan 1, 2016 What Every College Computer Science Freshman Should Know Aug 14, 2015 The Three Myths About JavaScript Simplicity Jul 10, 2015 The longer the chain of responsibility the less likely there is anyone in the hierarchy who can actually accept it Jun 7, 2015 Big Data is not all about Hadoop May 30, 2015 Exploration of the Software Engineering as a Profession Apr 8, 2015 Thanking MIT Scratch Sep 14, 2013 Have computers become too complicated for teaching ? Jan 1, 2013 Scripting News: After X years programming Jun 5, 2012

Exploration of the Software Engineering as a Profession

April 8, 2015

In 1992 Ed Yourdon wrote Decline and Fall of the American Programmer followed by Rise and Resurrection of the American Programmer just four years later. The first book spelled doom and gloom for the American Programmers who were going to get replaced by cheaper counterparts in India, Russia, Philippines, etc. The second book revisited some of the predictions based on the changes that the software industry has undergone in the years between the books.

I have read both books as a freshman in college and both books were incredibly thought provoking. As a talented computer science student I did not feel seriously threatened by the predictions of the Decline and Fall, nor was I convinced by the conclusions from Rise and Resurrection. These books did spark controversy in the industry, but as all literature goes they were opinions rooted in facts of that time period. As I like to tell people who ask me questions any recommendation I make is based on facts known to me up to this moment and are not a guarantee of future results. Likewise, Decline and Fall and Rise and Resurrection had to be viewed in that prism.

Both books were based on popular management techniques of the time that emphasized separation of cognitive aspects of software development from programming. Indeed, popular software engineering project management techniques at the time were based on the experience from electrical and other engineering disciplines that put more weight on the design than on the implementation.

What I'd like to do is a modern exploration of the future of the software engineering in the United States as a craft and as a profession.

As it turned out, software engineering is not really an engineering discipline, and computer science is not really a science. In civil engineering, for example, a bridge that is safe and lasts for centuries takes months and years to design by highly qualified and well paid engineers and is then built to the specifications and design by individual craftsmen working in teams. A bridge is subject to forces beyond designers' and engineers' control. Once built, a bridge is extremely difficult to incrementally upgrade. That is obviously not the case with software.

Furthermore, unlike other engineering disciplines software has an incredible low cost of entry. While some engineering disciplines require years of education and apprenticeship, software engineering does not (but it could benefit from it). An architect would require a substantial capital investment to build a building. A software engineer, on the other hand, just needs food, a $1000 worth of equipment, and some spare time to build the next Twitter or Facebook.

Many of the predictions about outsourcing have not panned out either. Software engineers need to be domain area experts for example, something that is not easily accomplishable if you intend to have your software built by a generic pool of engineers overseas. Open-source is a great equalizer – whereas in the 1980s and 1990s one needed to hire an army of programmers to build boiler plate code, majority of the platform code is out there in the open today. Cloud platforms like AWS eliminate the need for an army of on-premise IT personnel – although they do create a temporary opening for outsourcing vendors to help customers migrate.

These are the topics that I'd like to explore over the next few months on this blog. Is there a future for software engineering as a profession in the United States ? What is the present state ? What are the forces at play ?