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Strategic activity mapping for software architects May 25, 2025 The future is bright Mar 30, 2025 The day I became an architect Sep 11, 2024 Are developer jobs truly in decline? Jun 29, 2024 Software Engineering is here to stay Mar 3, 2024 Some thoughts on the latest LastPass fiasco Mar 5, 2023 Book review: Clojure for the Brave and True Oct 2, 2022 Stop Shakespearizing Sep 16, 2022 Java is no longer relevant May 29, 2022 Automation and coding tools for pet projects on the Apple hardware May 28, 2022 If you haven’t done it already, get yourself a Raspberry Pi and install Linux on it May 9, 2022 Tools of the craft Dec 18, 2021 Kitchen table conversations Nov 7, 2021 Should we abolish Section 230 ? Feb 1, 2021 The passwords are no longer a necessity. Let’s find a good alternative. Mar 2, 2020 Adobe Creative Cloud is an example of iPad replacing a laptop Jan 3, 2019 Nobody wants your app Aug 2, 2017 TypeScript starts where JavaScript leaves off Aug 2, 2017 Node.js is a perfect enterprise application platform Jul 30, 2017 I built an ultimate development environment for iPad Pro. Here is how. Jul 21, 2017 The technology publishing industry needs to transform in order to survive Jun 30, 2017 Copyright in the 21st century or how "IT Gurus of Atlanta" plagiarized my and other's articles Mar 21, 2017 Emails, politics, and common sense Jan 14, 2017 Collaborative work in the cloud: what I learned teaching my daughter how to code Dec 10, 2016 Apple’s recent announcements have been underwhelming Oct 29, 2016 Don't trust your cloud service until you've read the terms Sep 27, 2016 I am addicted to Medium, and I am tempted to move my entire blog to it Sep 9, 2016 What I learned from using Amazon Alexa for a month Sep 7, 2016 Amazon Alexa is eating the retailers alive Jun 22, 2016 In Support Of Gary Johnson Jun 13, 2016 Why it makes perfect sense for Dropbox to leave AWS May 7, 2016 Managed IT is not the future of the cloud Apr 9, 2016 JavaScript as the language of the cloud Feb 20, 2016 In memory of Ed Yourdon Jan 23, 2016 OAuth 2.0: the protocol at the center of the universe Jan 1, 2016 Operations costs are the Achille's heel of NoSQL Nov 23, 2015 IT departments must transform in the face of the cloud revolution Nov 9, 2015 I Stand With Ahmed Sep 19, 2015 Top Ten Differences Between ActiveMQ and Amazon SQS Sep 5, 2015 What Every College Computer Science Freshman Should Know Aug 14, 2015 Social Media Detox Jul 11, 2015 Book Review: "Shop Class As Soulcraft" By Matthew B. Crawford Jul 5, 2015 Attracting STEM Graduates to Traditional Enterprise IT Jul 4, 2015 The longer the chain of responsibility the less likely there is anyone in the hierarchy who can actually accept it Jun 7, 2015 The Clarkson School Class of 2015 Commencement speech May 5, 2015 Why I am not Getting an Apple Watch For Now: Or Ever Apr 26, 2015 Building a Supercomputer in AWS: Is it even worth it ? Apr 13, 2015 Exploration of the Software Engineering as a Profession Apr 8, 2015 Microsoft and Apple Have Everything to Lose if Chromebooks Succeed Mar 31, 2015 Do not apply data science methods without understanding them Mar 25, 2015 On apprenticeship Feb 13, 2015 On Managing Stress, Multitasking and Other New Year's Resolutions Jan 1, 2015 Why I am Tempted to Replace Cassandra With DynamoDB Nov 13, 2014 Thanking MIT Scratch Sep 14, 2013 Have computers become too complicated for teaching ? Jan 1, 2013 Java, Linux and UNIX: How much things have progressed Dec 7, 2010 We are all contract professionals Jan 13, 2007

Exploration of the Software Engineering as a Profession

April 8, 2015

In 1992 Ed Yourdon wrote Decline and Fall of the American Programmer followed by Rise and Resurrection of the American Programmer just four years later. The first book spelled doom and gloom for the American Programmers who were going to get replaced by cheaper counterparts in India, Russia, Philippines, etc. The second book revisited some of the predictions based on the changes that the software industry has undergone in the years between the books.

I have read both books as a freshman in college and both books were incredibly thought provoking. As a talented computer science student I did not feel seriously threatened by the predictions of the Decline and Fall, nor was I convinced by the conclusions from Rise and Resurrection. These books did spark controversy in the industry, but as all literature goes they were opinions rooted in facts of that time period. As I like to tell people who ask me questions any recommendation I make is based on facts known to me up to this moment and are not a guarantee of future results. Likewise, Decline and Fall and Rise and Resurrection had to be viewed in that prism.

Both books were based on popular management techniques of the time that emphasized separation of cognitive aspects of software development from programming. Indeed, popular software engineering project management techniques at the time were based on the experience from electrical and other engineering disciplines that put more weight on the design than on the implementation.

What I'd like to do is a modern exploration of the future of the software engineering in the United States as a craft and as a profession.

As it turned out, software engineering is not really an engineering discipline, and computer science is not really a science. In civil engineering, for example, a bridge that is safe and lasts for centuries takes months and years to design by highly qualified and well paid engineers and is then built to the specifications and design by individual craftsmen working in teams. A bridge is subject to forces beyond designers' and engineers' control. Once built, a bridge is extremely difficult to incrementally upgrade. That is obviously not the case with software.

Furthermore, unlike other engineering disciplines software has an incredible low cost of entry. While some engineering disciplines require years of education and apprenticeship, software engineering does not (but it could benefit from it). An architect would require a substantial capital investment to build a building. A software engineer, on the other hand, just needs food, a $1000 worth of equipment, and some spare time to build the next Twitter or Facebook.

Many of the predictions about outsourcing have not panned out either. Software engineers need to be domain area experts for example, something that is not easily accomplishable if you intend to have your software built by a generic pool of engineers overseas. Open-source is a great equalizer – whereas in the 1980s and 1990s one needed to hire an army of programmers to build boiler plate code, majority of the platform code is out there in the open today. Cloud platforms like AWS eliminate the need for an army of on-premise IT personnel – although they do create a temporary opening for outsourcing vendors to help customers migrate.

These are the topics that I'd like to explore over the next few months on this blog. Is there a future for software engineering as a profession in the United States ? What is the present state ? What are the forces at play ?